Report for Model 3

— for both jointly and separately

2024-10-23

1. Joint Modeling

1.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

1.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum       1.00       1.01
## LDevsum       1.00       1.02
## dh0           1.06       1.20
## dh1           1.02       1.05
## dh2           1.01       1.07
## dh3           1.00       1.00
## dl0           1.01       1.07
## dl1           1.00       1.02
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.04

1.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

1.4 WAIC results

LevelH LevelL
DIC 1212.29743 22623.1423
DIC3 1153.34986 22720.6989
PWAIC 41.91931 259.5071
WAIC 1179.62499 22743.8827

2. Separate Modeling of High-Level

2.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

2.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum       1.00       1.00
## dh0           1.02       1.08
## dh1           1.04       1.18
## dh2           1.13       1.48
## dh3           1.00       1.00
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.09

2.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

2.4 WAIC results

H4
DIC 1356.22810
DIC3 1234.82456
PWAIC 86.20612
WAIC 1301.05551

3. Separate Modeling for Low-level

3.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

3.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## LDevsum          1       1.01
## dl0              1       1.00
## dl1              1       1.00
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1

3.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

3.4 WAIC results

L1
DIC 22743.872
DIC3 22831.298
PWAIC 327.414
WAIC 22867.632